America's Third World Economy: The Great Transformation
Writers Articles And Opinions
10 October 2010
By Paul Craig Robberts
For a number of years I
reported on the monthly nonfarm payroll jobs data. The
data did not support the praises economists were
singing to the “New Economy.” The “New Economy”
consisted, allegedly, of financial services,
innovation, and high-tech services.
This economy was taking the place of
the old “dirty fingernail” economy of industry and
manufacturing. Education would retrain the workforce,
and we would move on to a higher level of prosperity.
Time after time I reported that
there was no sign of the “New Economy” jobs, but that
the old economy jobs were disappearing. The only net
new jobs were in lowly paid domestic services such as
waitresses and bartenders, retail clerks, health care
and social assistance (mainly ambulatory health care
services), and, before the bubble burst, construction.
The facts, issued monthly by the US
Bureau of Labor Statistics, had no impact on the ”New
Economy” propaganda. Economists continued to wax
eloquently about how globalism was a boon for our
future.
The millions of unemployed today are
blamed on the popped real estate bubble and the
subprime derivative financial crisis. However, the US
economy has been losing jobs for a decade. As
manufacturing, information technology, software
engineering, research, development, and tradable
professional services have been moved offshore, the
American middle class has shriveled. The ladders of
upward mobility that made American an “opportunity
society” have been dismantled.
The wage and salary cost savings
obtained by giving Americans’ jobs to Chinese and
Indians have enriched corporate CEOs, shareholders,
and Wall Street at the expense of the middle class and
America’s consumer economy.
The loss of middle class jobs and
incomes was covered up for years by the expansion of
consumer debt to substitute for the lack of income
growth. Americans refinanced their homes and spent the
equity, and they maxed out their credit cards.
Consumer debt expansion has run its
course, and there is no possibility of continuing to
drive the economy with additions to consumer debt.
Economists and policymakers continue
to ignore the fact that all employment in tradable
goods and services can be moved offshore (or filled by
foreigners brought in on H-1b and L-1 visas). The only
replacement jobs are in nontradable domestic services,
that is, those jobs that require “hands-on” activity,
such as ambulatory health services, barbers, cleaning
services, waitresses and bartenders--jobs that
describe the labor force of a third world country.
Even many of these jobs are now filed with foreigners
brought in on R-1 type visas from Russia, Ukraine,
Thailand, Romania, and elsewhere.
The loss of American jobs and the
compression of consumer income by low wages has
removed consumer demand as the driving force of the
economy. This is the reason expansionary monetary and
fiscal policies are having no effect.
The latest jobs report issued today
shows that America’s transformation into a third world
economy continues. The economy lost 95,000 jobs in
September, mainly due to cuts in local education and
federal employment. Part of the loss of 159,000
government jobs was offset by 64,000 new private
sector jobs.
Where are the new jobs? They are in
nontradable lowly paid domestic services: 32,000 were
in health care and social services, and 33,900 were in
food services and drinking places.
There you have it. That is America’s
“New Economy.”
Paul Craig
Roberts
was an editor of the Wall Street Journal and an
Assistant Secretary of the U.S. Treasury. His latest
book,
HOW THE ECONOMY WAS LOST, has just been published
by CounterPunch/AK Press. He can be reached at:
PaulCraigRoberts@yahoo.com
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