By Dr. Hamad Al-Majid
I'm aware that this title will be provocative to
millions of people in Egypt and across the Arab world
who, last Friday, cheered the victory that was
achieved against political tyranny and corruption by
the will of the people. However there is a major
concern over this unprecedented experience and that is
of it being snuffed out in its infancy. If this were
to happen, this would indicate the inevitable failure
of other similar experiences in other Arab countries
that, like Egypt, suffer from political tyranny and
administrative and financial corruption. If post-Mubarak
Egypt, God forbid, were to slide into chaos, or
witness a period in which the military rules the
country with an iron fist, or experience economic
decline and even greater poverty and unemployment,
then the Egypt people will say "Mubarak, we remember
your reign fondly" or as an [Arab] poet once wrote:
Oh God, one day I was given cause to cry, however,
When it happened to somebody else, I cried for
them.
If this were to happen, every tyrant would repeat
the same expression used by Hosni Mubarak, namely
"it's either me or chaos." This is the same expression
that was used by former Tunisian president Zine El
Abidine Ben Ali. This is something that goes back to
ancient times, and Pharaoh even tried this tactic with
Moses. "And Pharaoh said: Suffer me to kill Moses, and
let him cry unto his Lord. Lo! I fear that he will
alter your religion or that he will cause confusion in
the land." [Surat Al-Ghafir, Verse 26].
The Arab people are tired of being intimidated by
models of failed change which include Iraq, Somalia,
and Afghanistan, in fact these three countries are
being used as scarecrows to frighten any who call for
change or fight corruption, raising the possibility
that the situation after change could be even worse
than before. To be fair, those who fear this are
justified, and the majority of the people in the
countries named above long for the previous era, i.e.
the era of Saddam in Iraq, Siad Barre in Somalia, and
the Soviet era in Afghanistan. Indeed, many in these
countries long for the security and stability that
existed under the former regimes despite their harsh
and dictatorial nature and the rampant corruption that
also existed, particularly when you compare this to
the high state of tension that currently exists in
these countries. This is why we are seeking to abolish
this negative image [of change] and we hope that the
Tunisian and Egyptian experiences could follow a more
positive path. However just because we are hopeful
that the two revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia are
successful, this does not mean that we want to see the
outbreak of demonstrations, bloodshed, and the
destruction of public property, in other Arab states.
This is because revolutions such as this are not the
only solution for certain Arab countries to rid
themselves of political despotism and corruption.
Rather, certain Arab countries that share similar
circumstances with Egypt and Tunisia must be aware
that what happened in these two countries spreading to
others is not "nonsense" as former Egyptian Foreign
Minister Ahmed Aboul-Gheit previously described this
[prior to the revolution in Egypt].
Certain Arab countries must take the initiative [to
rectify their internal state of affairs] before they
reach a stage where offering change and reform would
be too little and too late, as was the case with
former President Mubarak and former President Ben Ali.
Imagine what would have happened if prior to 25
January 2011, then President Hosni Mubarak had
announced that he was dissolving the Egyptian cabinet
and appointing Omar Suleiman as his vice president, as
well as calling for new parliamentary elections to
take place, implementing constitutional amendments,
dissolving the Emergency Law, and releasing all
political detainees. If he did this, Mubarak could
have protected his country from sliding into chaos and
spent the remainder of his presidential term content
and certain that he would be safe in his own country
after his term in office came to an end. However he
and his advisories believed that the revolution
spreading to Egypt was "nonsense" and as a result of
this, he, along with the security forces, have been
swept away in a flood of popular fervour, and now the
only option is death.