28 April 2010By
Ellen Brown
While the SEC is busy investigating Goldman Sachs, it
might want to look into another Goldman-dominated
fraud: computerized front running using high-frequency
trading programs.
Market commentators are fond of talking about “free
market capitalism,” but according to Wall Street
commentator Max Keiser, it is no more. It has morphed
into what his TV co-host Stacy Herbert calls “rigged
market capitalism”: all markets today are subject to
manipulation for private gain.
Keiser isn’t just speculating about this. He claims
to have invented one of the most widely used programs
for doing the rigging. Not that that’s what he meant
to invent. His patented program was designed to take
the manipulation out of markets. It would do
this by matching buyers with sellers automatically,
eliminating “front running” – brokers buying or
selling ahead of large orders coming in from their
clients. The computer program was intended to remove
the conflict of interest that exists when brokers who
match buyers with sellers are also selling from their
own accounts. But the program fell into the wrong
hands and became the prototype for automated trading
programs that actually facilitate front
running.
Also called High Frequency Trading (HFT) or “black box
trading,” automated program trading uses high-speed
computers governed by complex algorithms (instructions
to the computer) to analyze data and transact orders
in massive quantities at very high speeds. Like the
poker player peeking in a mirror to see his opponent’s
cards, HFT allows the program trader to peek at major
incoming orders and jump in front of them to skim
profits off the top. And these large institutional
orders are our money -- our pension funds,
mutual funds, and 401Ks.
When “market making” (matching buyers with sellers)
was done strictly by human brokers on the floor of the
stock exchange, manipulations and front running were
possible but were against the rules, which were
strictly enforced. Front running by computer, using
complex trading programs, is an entirely different
species of fraud. A minor potential for cheating has
morphed into a monster. Keiser maintains that computerized
front running with HFT has become the principal
business of Wall Street and the primary force driving
most of the volume on exchanges, contributing not only
to a large portion of trading profits but to the
manipulation of markets for economic and political
ends.
The “Virtual Specialist”: the Prototype for High
Frequency Trading
Until recently, most market making was done by brokers
called “specialists,” those people you see on the
floor of the New York Stock Exchange haggling over the
price of stocks. The
job of the specialist originated over a century ago,
when the need was recognized for a system for
continuous trading. That meant trading even when
there was no “real” buyer or seller waiting to take
the other side of the trade.
The specialist is a broker who deals in a specific
stock and remains at one location on the floor holding
an inventory of it. He posts the “bid” and “ask”
prices, manages “limit” orders, executes trades, and
is responsible for managing the uninterrupted flow of
orders. If there is a large shift in demand on the
“buy” side or the “sell” side, the specialist steps in
and sells or buys out of his own inventory to meet the
demand, until the gap has narrowed.
This gives him an opportunity to trade for himself,
using his inside knowledge to book a profit. That
practice is frowned on by the Securities Exchange
Commission (SEC), but it has never been seriously
regulated, because it has been considered necessary to
keep markets “liquid.”
Keiser’s “Virtual Specialist Technology” (VST) was
developed for the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX),
a web-based, multiplayer simulation in which players
use virtual money to buy and sell “shares” of actors,
directors, upcoming films, and film-related options.
The program determines the
true market price automatically, by comparing “bids”
with “asks” and weighting the proportion of each.
Keiser and HSX co-founder Michael Burns
applied for a patent
for a “computer-implemented securities trading system
with a virtual specialist function” in 1996, and U.S.
patent no. 5960176 was awarded in 1999.
But things went awry after the dot.com crash, when
Keiser’s company HSX Holdings sold the VST patent to
investment firm Cantor Fitzgerald, over his
objection. Cantor Fitzgerald then put the part of the
program that would have eliminated front-running on
ice, just as drug companies buy up competing patents
in order to take them off the market. Instead of
preventing front-running, the program was altered so
that it actually enhanced that fraudulent practice.
Keiser (who is now based in Europe) notes that this
sort of patent abuse is illegal under European
Intellectual Property law.
Meanwhile, the design of the VST program remained on
display at the patent office, giving other inventors
ideas. To get a patent, applicants must list “prior
art” and then prove that their patent is an
improvement in some way. The listing for Keiser’s
patent shows that it has been referenced by 132 others
involving automated program trading or HFT.
Since then, HFT has quickly come to dominate the
exchanges. High frequency trading firms now account
for 73% of all U.S. equity trades, although they
represent only 2% of the approximately 20,000 firms in
operation.
In 1998, the
SEC allowed online electronic communication networks,
or alternative trading systems, to become full-fledged
stock exchanges. Alternative trading systems (ATS)
are computer-automated order-matching
systems that offer exchange-like trading opportunities
at lower costs but are often subject to lower
disclosure requirements and different trading rules.
Computer systems automatically match buy and sell
orders that were themselves submitted through
computers. Market making that was once done with a
“specialist’s book” -- something that could be
examined and audited -- is now done by an unseen,
unaudited “black box.”
For over a century, the stock market was a real
market, with live traders hotly bidding against each
other on the floor of the exchange. In only a decade,
floor trading has been eliminated in all but the
largest exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange
(NYSE); and even in those markets, it now co-exists
with electronic trading.
Alternative trading systems
allow just about any
sizable trader to place orders directly in the market,
rather than routing them through investment dealers on
the NYSE. They also allow any sizable trader with a
sophisticated HFT program to front run trades.
Flash Trades: How the Game Is Rigged
An integral component of computerized front running is
a dubious practice called “flash trades.” Flash
orders are permitted by a
regulatory loophole that allows exchanges to show
orders to some traders ahead of others for a fee.
At one time, the
NYSE allowed specialists to benefit from an advance
look at incoming orders; but it has now replaced that
practice with a “level playing field” policy that
gives all investors equal access to all price quotes.
Some ATSs, however, which are hotly competing with the
established exchanges for business, have adopted the
use of flash trades to pull trading business away from
the exchanges. An incoming order is revealed (or
flashed) to a trader for a fraction of a second before
being sent to the national market system. If the
trader can match the best bid or offer in the system,
he can then pick up that order before the rest of the
market sees it.
The flash peek reveals the trade coming in but not the
limit price – the maximum price at which the buyer or
seller is willing to trade. This is what the HFT
program figures out, and it is what gives the
high-frequency trader the same sort of inside
information available to the traditional market maker:
he now gets to peek at the other player’s cards. That
means high-frequency
traders can do more than just skim hefty profits from
other investors. They can actually manipulate
markets.
How this is done was explained by Karl Denninger in an
insightful post on Seeking Alpha in July 2009:
“Let’s say that there is
a buyer willing to buy 100,000 shares of BRCM with a
limit price of $26.40. That is, the buyer will accept
any price up to $26.40. But the market at this
particular moment in time is at $26.10, or thirty
cents lower.
“So the computers,
having detected via their ‘flash orders’ (which ought
to be illegal) that there is a desire for Broadcom
shares, start to issue tiny (typically 100 share lots)
‘immediate or cancel’ orders - IOCs - to sell at
$26.20. If that order is ‘eaten’ the computer then
issues an order at $26.25, then $26.30, then $26.35,
then $26.40. When it tries $26.45 it gets no bite and
the order is immediately canceled.
“Now the flush of supply
comes at, big coincidence, $26.39, and the claim is
made that the market has become ‘more efficient.’
“Nonsense; there was no
‘real seller’ at any of these prices! This pattern of
offering was intended to do one and only one thing --
manipulate the market
by discovering what
is supposed to be a hidden piece of information -- the
other side’s limit price!
“With normal order
queues and flows the person with the limit order would
see
the offer at $26.20 and might drop his limit. But the
computers are so fast that unless you own one of the
same speed you have no chance to do this -- your order
is immediately ‘raped’ at the full limit price! . . .
[Y]ou got screwed for 29 cents per share which was
quite literally stolen by the HFT firms that probed
your book before you could detect the activity,
determined your maximum price, and then sold to you as
close to your maximum price as was possible.”
The ostensible justification for high-frequency
programs is that they “improve liquidity,” but
Denninger says, “Hogwash. They have turned the market
into a rigged game where institutional orders (that’s
you, Mr. and Mrs. Joe Public, when you buy or sell
mutual funds!) are routinely screwed for the benefit
of a few major international banks.”
In fact, high-frequency traders may be removing
liquidity from the market. So argues John Daly in the
Canadian Globe and Mail, citing Thomas
Caldwell, CEO of Caldwell Securities Ltd.:
“Large institutional investors know that if they start
trying to push through a large block of shares at a
certain price – even if the block is broken into many
small trades on several ATSs and markets -- they
can trigger a flood of high-frequency orders that
immediately move market prices to the institution’s
disadvantage. . . . That’s why institutions have
flocked to so-called dark pools operated
by ATSs such as Instinet, and individual dealers like
Goldman Sachs. The pools allow traders to offer
prices without publicly revealing their identities and
tipping their hand.”
Because these large, dark pools are opaque to other
investors and to regulators, they inhibit the free and
fair trade that depends on open and transparent
auction markets to work.
The Notorious Market-Rigging Ringleader, Goldman Sachs
Tyler Durden, writing on Zero Hedge, notes that
the HFT game is dominated by Goldman Sachs, which he
calls “a hedge fund in all but FDIC backing.” Goldman
was an investment bank until the fall of 2008, when it
became a commercial bank overnight in order to
capitalize on federal bailout benefits, including
virtually interest-free money from the Fed that it can
use to speculate on the opaque ATS exchanges where
markets are manipulated and controlled.
Unlike the
NYSE, which is open only from 10 am to 4 pm EST daily,
ATSs trade around the clock; and they are particularly
busy when the NYSE is closed, when stocks are thinly
traded and easily manipulated. Tyler Durden writes:
“[A]s the market keeps going up day in and day out,
regardless of the deteriorating economic conditions,
it is just these HFT’s that determine the overall
market direction, usually without fundamental or
technical reason. And based on a few lines of code,
retail investors get suckered into a rising market
that has nothing to do with green shoots or some
Chinese firms buying a few hundred extra Intel
servers: HFTs are merely perpetuating the same ponzi
market mythology last seen in the Madoff case, but on
a massively larger scale.”
HFT rigging helps explain how Goldman Sachs earned at
least $100 million per day from its trading
division, day after day, on 116 out of 194 trading
days through the end of September 2009. It’s like
taking candy from a baby, when you can see the other
players’ cards.
Reviving the Free Market
So what can be done to restore free and fair markets?
A step in the right direction would be to prohibit
flash trades.
The SEC is proposing such rules, but they haven’t been
effected yet.
Another
proposed check on HFT is a Tobin tax – a very small
tax on every financial trade. Proposals for the tax
range from .005% to 1%, so small that it would hardly
be felt by legitimate “buy and hold” investors, but
high enough to kill HFT, which skims a very tiny
profit from a huge number of trades.
That could work, but it might take a tax larger than
.005% or even .1%. Consider Denninger’s example, in
which the high-frequency trader was making not just a
few pennies but a full 29 cents per trade and had an
opportunity to make this sum on 99,500 shares (100,000
shares less 5 100-lot trades at lesser sums). That’s
a $28,855 profit on a $2.63 million trade, not bad for
a few milliseconds of work. Imposing a .1% Tobin tax
on the $2.63 million would reduce the profit to
$26,225, but that’s still a nice return for a trade
that takes less time than blinking. A full 1%, on the
other hand, would pretty well wipe out the profit and
kill the trade.
Better yet, however, would be to fix the problem at
its source -- the price-setting mechanism itself.
Keiser says this could be done by banning HFT and
installing his VST computer program in its original
design in all the exchanges. The true
market price would then be established automatically,
foreclosing both human and electronic manipulation.
He notes that the shareholders of his former firm have
a good claim for voiding out the sale to Cantor
Fitzgerald and retrieving the program, since the deal
was never consummated and the investors in HSX
Holdings have never received a penny for the sale.
There is just one problem with their legal claim: the
paperwork proving it was shipped to Cantor
Fitzgerald’s offices in the World Trade Center several
months before September 2001. Like free market
capitalism itself, it seems, the evidence has gone up
in smoke.
Ellen Brown developed her research skills as an
attorney practicing civil litigation in Los Angeles.
In
Web of Debt,
her latest of eleven books, she turns those skills to
an analysis of the Federal Reserve and “the money
trust.” She shows how this private cartel has usurped
the power to create money from the people themselves,
and how we the people can get it back. Her websites
are
www.webofdebt.com,
www.ellenbrown.com,
and
www.public-banking.com.
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