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14 July 2010
By Jacob G. Hornberger Statists continue to argue that to dig its way out
of its welfare-warfare financial crisis, U.S.
officials should continue to spend massive amounts of
money. The problem, of course, is that the U.S.
government doesn’t have massive amounts of money. What
it is already spending far exceeds what it is
receiving in the form of taxes. So, how do statists propose that government
officials get the difference in order to cover its
spending? In two ways: borrowing and inflation. They
say that the spending of that borrowed or printed
money will “revitalize” the economy, thereby bringing
jobs to unemployed people who then will be paying the
taxes to fund the welfare-warfare state. Happy days
will be here again. The statist arguments, however, are false and
fallacious and lead in but one direction: economic
doom, the same type of economic doom that has now hit
Greece, where the government is, for all practical
purposes, bankrupt — unable to pay its bills, unable
to borrow the money to do so, unable to print the
money to do so, and lacking a sufficient private base
of wealth to tax. In any society, there is a finite amount of
capital. Let’s take a small, very poor nation, one in
which people, say, have a total savings of $1,000,000.
That’s all the money there is for capital. Things are going well within the nation. Business
is booming. Private business owners decide to expand
operations by investing in equipment that will make
their businesses more productive. This will mean more
revenue for the firm, enabling the payment of higher
wages, as well as lower prices for consumers. To borrow the $1,000,000 that savers in the nation
are willing to lend, the firms decide to issue bonds
carrying an annual interest rate of 10 percent, which
is the most they can afford to pay. But just before the bonds go to market, government
officials enter the picture and announce that they are
going to embark on a massive public works campaign
entailing the building of pyramids. They issue
government bonds with an interest rate of 20 percent,
twice what the private firms are offering. The savers
decide to lend their money to the government. The government uses the money to build its
pyramids. It offers jobs to construction workers all
over the country. New businesses spring up around the
pyramid operations, such as restaurants, car
dealerships, and clothing stores. Government officials, along with the mainstream
press, celebrate all this economic activity. “Jobs for
your nation!” they proudly declaim “We’re the key to
economic prosperity!” When the pyramid is finally
finished, they proudly point to the tourists who come
to visit it. But there is something important that is missing
here. It’s easy to point to the pyramid, the
restaurants, the car dealers, and the tourists. But
it’s not as easy to see all that is unseen: all the
things that did not come into existence owing to the
fact that the private businesses were prevented from
borrowing the $1,000,000 in capital to expand their
operations. Their level of productivity does not grow,
which means no wage increases for the workers and no
price decreases for consumers. The money that would
have gone into private business expansion was used for
the construction of a pyramid. Moreover, the government is now saddled with
$1,000,000 in debt that must now be paid back. Where
does it get the money? From the people in the nation
(including the savers) — through taxation. What happens if tourists don’t come to visit the
pyramid? Building a new pyramid obviously becomes
problematic. But lots of people have become dependent
on the pyramid business. Construction companies and
suppliers engaged in the building of the pyramid start
to go out of business. The same goes for all the
nearby restaurants, car dealers, and clothing stores.
That means massive unemployment. In other words: recession or even depression! The
statists cry, “Do something! Save us from recession
and depression! Spend more money! You can’t stop now.
You must continue doing it to keep the economy going.
Borrow the money or print the money, but just keep
spending.” Thus, each year the government builds a new
pyramid, and each year more and more businesses become
oriented toward the pyramid operations. But finally,
one day the government’s debt has become so large that
people won’t lend it their money, fearing that they
won’t get paid back. And there isn’t enough wealth in
the nation to tax. Nonetheless, the statists cry, “Save us from
recession and depression! Keep spending money.” Government officials respond, “We don’t have the
money to spend. We’re flat broke. We can’t raise the
money through taxes because people are flat broke
too.” Statists exclaim, “Then just print the money you
need for new pyramids. Just don’t stop spending. Save
us from recession and depression!” And that’s when the inflation begins, the insidious
process by which government plunders and loots people
not through direct taxation but rather by debasing the
value of their money. That’s when prices of most
everything start soaring. Finally, at the end of this long process, the
government is broke, the people are broke, economic
activity has come to a standstill, and there is no
more savings in society. The Big Depression has
finally hit. What do the statists say then? That’s when they
blame the whole thing on free enterprise and call on
the government to nationalize and own all the gold,
industry, and everything else in society, including,
of course, the pyramids. Jacob Hornberger is founder and president of The
Future of Freedom Foundation. |