30 November 2010 By Tariq Alhomayed Whenever we look at the regional situation around
us, we see Iran and its negative influence, and by
contrast we see the Saudis and the Egyptians as
firefighters. This is what is happening in Yemen,
Iraq, Lebanon and Palestine. The roles may vary, and
increase or decrease, between Riyadh and Cairo, but
these two countries represent the centre of gravity
for Arab rationality in the region. For the Iranians, their strength lies in their
insurgent allies; the militias, or through other
allies who play a covert role, either by wasting time,
providing stances that could complicate the situation
further without any significant progress (only to
ensure than matters move towards the desired Iranian
solution), or by merely acting as a form of
painkiller, which doesn't offer any long term solution
to the sick body. There are two other countries that have a
significant impact on the region, both positively and
negatively. They are the ambitious state of Turkey, or
according to ‘The Economist' magazine, ‘the China of
Europe', as well as Pakistan. The significance of
these countries becomes clear when examining their
geographical location, their characteristics, and
their components. Turkey borders Iran, Iraq and Syria,
and enjoys economic, political and military influence.
It also holds a strategic location inside Europe, and
is the only member of NATO in the Middle East.
Furthermore, its political agenda is clear, in
relation to Iraq and other countries in the region. It
has clear economic motivations and potential, and an
interest in the stability of the region on the whole.
As for Pakistan, it is a nuclear Islamic state,
with significant population density, and a close
relationship with Saudi Arabia. It borders
Afghanistan, a hotbed for terrorism, which it has
significant influence over. It also shares a border
with Iran. As we said yesterday (that the Turks
prioritized their interests over political rhetoric,
when agreeing to the NATO missile defense system,
which we described as a cunning Turkish move) the
Pakistanis are also keen on their alliance with
Riyadh. There is a balance of political trust between
them and the Saudis, supported by bilateral interests.
Therefore, adding to what we said previously, the
Saudis and the Egyptians must re-examine their
communications, and interactions, with Turkey and
Pakistan, and the need to form new alliances,
considering the current state of affairs in the Middle
East. If Iran is allied with its militias, and covert
states, then Saudi Arabia and Egypt must ally with
state institutions, such as Turkey and Pakistan, for
the benefit of the region on the whole. Pakistan is
vital for the stability of Afghanistan, limiting
Iranian interference in the country, or Tehran's
support for the Taliban and al-Qaeda, especially
considering the impending U.S. withdrawal. As for
Turkey, it has influence in Iraq, Lebanon, and support
for the Palestinian cause. Such issues are in dire
need of states with clear stances. Of course, I am not advocating the ‘neighboring
states' proposal, put forth by the Secretary General
of the Arab League. This is not a further development
of that idea. Rather, this is a call to restructure
the Middle East according to the common interests in
the region, and according to states, rather than for
the benefit of certain sects, parties, or militias. It
is not in the interests of the region for Iraq to be a
weak state, for Lebanon to be in flames, or for Iran
to extend its reach throughout the Middle East. What
we must be mindful of here is that Turkey and Pakistan
represent a pair of scissors, able to cut the noose
that Iran and its allies have tied around the neck of
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