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04 February 2011 By Tariq Alhomayed Now is not the time for judgment, nor is it the
time for saying "we told you so", but rather it is the
time to congratulate the rational minds in the Middle
East. Our region is being divided for and against, and
the situation has turned into "mindless hysteria",
whereby everything is becoming perplexing. However,
let us stop in front of this highly important matter,
as light is visible at the end of the tunnel! In the midst of our grief for the horror, sorrow
and blood in Cairo yesterday, something significant
happened in Yemen. President Ali Abdullah Saleh came
out and told his people: "I will make concessions". He
publicly announced that there would be "No extension,
no inheritance, no resetting the clock", and that he
would not back down from his words this time, as
happened on previous occasions. "Resetting the clock"
is a well known expression to Yemenis and those in the
Gulf, and refers to the scenario where if a car had
been driven for thousands of miles, the owner might
reset the counter to zero to make it appear new. The
Yemeni President further added that he would introduce
"a specific electoral program in which the
presidential term would be limited to only two
sessions of five years. People will transfer power
peacefully, without unrest, without taking to the
streets, without mobs, and without smashing shops and
destroying institutions. These [actions] are not
acceptable". So, are we okay now? Is there a breeze of
rationality blowing through our Arab homelands? Do
republics realize it is impossible to act as
monarchies, without destroying our nations? We hope
so, and this is the argument I put forward in an
article on the 31st of January (entitled: Is it a
crisis for the Egyptian regime alone?), in which I
attacked the mindless hysteria in the Arab world, and
I was criticized for trying to defend the Egyptian
regime! The problem is clear; the coming crisis was
inevitable, no matter how long it was prolonged by all
Arab republics. An intellectual once told me that according to the
German theorist Max Weber, political legitimacy, or
the legitimacy of authority, can be classified into
three models: "traditional, charismatic, and
rational-legal". The traditional model is a monarchy,
although a sound monarchy would be one that
accommodates the changes around it, and adapts with
them. The best example of charismatic authority in our
region is the late Egyptian President, Gamal Abdul
Nasser. However, public opinion, like the weather, is
a volatile entity. For example, Britain voted to
depose their historical, charismatic, and
democratically elected Prime Minister, Winston
Churchill, after the end of World War II. Finally, the
rational-legal model of authority is best represented
by elections, and the peaceful transfer of power. This
model occurs in democratic countries. The crisis facing our republics looms large, and it
is inevitable as long as there is an absence of
patriotism and a lack of priority for the interests of
the country. We will not benefit from tricks or
oppression, as history tells us. If the situation were
to calm down in Egypt, and if rational-minded
individuals were to comply with President Mubarak's
call, and leave the streets, then the desired reforms
could be implemented, as the regime cannot go back on
these issues after all that's happened. Egypt today is
not the Egypt of yesterday. If this were to happen,
then there would be a more favorable outlook, with
many prospects. However, these prospects would be
different to what is being promoted by Iran, its
allies and its agents, in their statements today. The
road is still long and tough, and it requires a
rational approach, rather than shouting "We are not
Tunisia", "We are not Egypt" or "We are not Yemen".
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's degree from George Washington University in Washington D.C. He is based in London. |