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12 June 2011 By Juan Cole Far rightwing
Israeli
Prime Minister Binyamin ("Bibi")
Netanyahu of the Likud Party has attempted to
sidestep making peace with the Palestinians by using
the magician's favorite tactic of misdirection– of
trying to get the audience to look somewhere else
while the trick is being performed. Netanyahu's ploy
is to endeavor to shift attention to
Iran
while his government brazenly steals ever more land
from the Palestinians in the
Occupied Territories (theft which is illegal in
international law, not to mention contrary to
Commandment no. 8 in the series of Ten). Netanyahu's prestidigitation has not gone well. The
Arab Spring has taken the world's mind off Iran. The
power struggle between Leader Ali Khamenei and
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has been decisively lost
by an increasingly diminished Ahmadinejad, putting
paid to earlier charges that the president had made a
military coup against the Leader with the help of
feckless Revolutionary Guards. But the Iran meme has crashed and burned inside
Israel
on two other scores, as well. First, Netanyahu appears
to have forced out
Meir Dagan, the head of the Israeli spying
agency Mossad, whose departure coincided with that of
the chief of staff, the head of domestic intelligence,
and other key security officials. Dagan, having become
a civilian, promptly went public, lambasting Netanyahu
for refusing to make peace with the Palestinians while
it was still possible. Dagan went on to accuse Netanyahu and his Defense
Minister,
Ehud Barak, of grossly exaggerating the threat
from Iran, calling a strike on that country "stupid
idea that offers no advantage." He warned that it
would provoke another rocket attack on Israel by
Lebanon's Hizbullah, and perhaps by
Syria
as well– i.e. it could lead to a regional
conflagration. The back story that has emerged in the Israeli
press is that Barak, who is a notorious war-monger and
adventurist, had gotten Netanyahu's ear and pressed
for a military strike on Iran. Dagan and all the other
major security officials stood against this foolhardy
plan, and managed to derail it. But Dagan is said to
be concerned that virtually all the level heads have
gone out of office together, and that Netanyahu and
Barak may now be in a position to revive their crazy
plan of attacking Iran. Moreover, they may want to
attack in September, as a way of creating a crisis
that will overshadow Palestinian plans to seek
membership in the United Nations. Dagan and other high Israeli security officials
appear to believe that Iran has no present
nuclear
weapons program. That
is what Military Intelligence Director, Brigadier
General Aviv Kochavi, has told the Israeli parliament.
Kochavi thinks it unlikely that Iran would start up a
military nuclear program. In other words, Israeli
military intelligence holds the same position as
Seymour Hersh. (Of course, one piece of
hypocrisy here is that Israel has hundreds of
nuclear
warheads itself). In the Obama administration's
pillorying of Hersh, it never came up that Dagan and
Kochavi concur with him! (Iran has a civilian nuclear
enrichment program, which is being inspected by the
IAEA, but a civilian program is different from a
military one; there is no evidence for the latter,
though sometimes Iranian officials occasionally talk
big. Iran probably wants what is called ‘nuclear
latency,' the ability to build a bomb in short order,
as deterrence against attack, but probably does not
want an actual bomb, which it considers contrary to
Islamic law). Netanyahu's Iran gambit has been further damaged by
the revelation that the Israeli Ofer Brothers company
has been sanctioned by the US Department of the
Treasury for trading with Iran! They seem to
have sold Iran an oil tanker through the United Arab
Emirates. No one has jumped up and down more loudly
about the need to slap
economic sanctions on Iran than the Israeli
government, but now it emerges that Israeli economic
concerns put profits first. So to sum up: The former head of Mossad thinks that
Netanyahu and Barak are terminally flaky; he and other
high officials think Iran has no nuclear weapons
program; he thinks an Israeli attack on Iran was and
would be "the stupidest thing I have ever heard;" and
he and other now-retired security officials think that
the 2002 peace agreement offered Israel by the
Arab
League is the country's last best chance for
integration into the
Middle East and security for Israeli citizens.
The Likud Party has consistently pissed all over the
2002 Saudi-led Arab League initiative and has
preferred unilaterally to annex Palestinian territory
instead. (That unilateral Israeli policy is why it is
so ridiculous for President Obama to condemn the
Palestinians for ‘unilaterally' seeking UN membership–
that and the oddness of characterizing a UN General
Assembly vote by 193 nations as ‘unilateral.') In other words, ex-Mossad chief Meir Dagan's
positions on Israel and Iran and the flakiness of
Netanyahu in these regards are the same as those of
Juan Cole, who has been pilloried by the American
Likud for taking them. The USG Open Source Center translated the following
radio reports from Hebrew on the Ofer affair: ‘ Israel: Aides Warn of Ofer Affair ‘Strategic
Damage'; Dagan: Coverage ‘Exaggerated' The
Israeli media on 30-31 May report on the
latest developments in the wake of the US State
Department's announcement that sanctions had been
imposed on the Ofer Brothers Group and Tanker
Pacific because of their commercial dealings with
Iran… Affair Checked With Americans; PM Aides Warn of
‘Big Strategic Damage' to Israel State-funded but independent
Jerusalem
Voice of Israel Network B in Hebrew reports
at 0500 GMT on 31 May: "The
Defense Ministry has in recent days checked
the entire Ofer Brothers affair with the Americans.
The American department dealing with the affair
stated that there is no security connection to the
Israeli Defense Ministry, our army affairs
correspondent Karmela Menashe reports. "Aides in the prime minister's bureau claim that
anybody insinuating that the Ofer Brothers were
issued permits to operate in Iran should reveal them
to the public. According to these aides, this affair
might evolve into a big strategic damage to Israel.
A senior diplomatic source said that Israel has no
mechanism to check non-military deals and that it
serious lags behind other countries in this respect,
our political correspondent Shmu'el Tal reports."
Ofer Brothers: Netanyahu ‘Has Thrown Us to the
Dogs'; Central Bank Checking Tel Aviv IDF Radio in Hebrew at 0500 GMT says:
"Sources in Ofer Brothers are furious with Prime
Minister
Binyamin Netanyahu, who yesterday claimed
yesterday that Israel was in no way connected to the
anchoring of ships in Iran. One source said: The
state used us more than once for national purposes,
but now Netanyahu has thrown us to the dogs. "Our economic affairs correspondent Yona Levzov
reported this morning that in parallel with the
Defense Ministry's check, the
Bank of Israel is also looking into the
suspicions against the Ofer Brothers that one of
their companies traded with Iran. If the check by
the central bank yields suspicions of a violation of
Israeli law, the Ofer Brothers may have to sell
their shares in Bank Mizrahi-Tefahot."
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