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23 Jan 2012 By Tariq Alhomayed The Libyan city of Benghazi represented the major
turning point in the popular uprising against Colonel
Gaddafi's regime. The city itself dealt a fatal blow
to the backbone Gaddafi's regime when it transformed
into a buffer zone, thus facilitating foreign
intervention. These days, the course of events in
Syria indicates that the rebels there are searching
for something similar, and perhaps more effective. Today the Syrian revolutionaries are pursuing a
strategy that seems smart and effective so far, namely
the search for a Syrian Benghazi or as a source close
to what is happening on the ground in Syria told me,
the rebels are "searching for multiple Benghazis, not
just one". These could be Homs, Zabadani, and others,
which the rebels consider to be liberated cities. Of
course there were questions about why the al-Assad
army has withdrawn from some of those areas,
especially as this withdrawal came as the result of
negotiations with the Free Syrian Army (FSA), which is
now protecting some of the demonstrators in sensitive
areas in Syria, including the outskirts of Damascus.
In fact, this is a crucial matter that explains the
weakness and instability of al-Assad's forces, and the
erosion of their control in certain areas of Syria.
There is an explanation for the instability of al-Assad's
forces, with sources indicating that the al-Assad
regime is intentionally reducing the armament of its
official army, out of fear of members defecting and
taking their weapons with them. This is a very
important point, and a source told me that in the
beginning, members of the army were fighting, then
there was a process of surrender or defections after
the battle heated up, but what is happening today is
quite different, with the source saying that once the
army was besieged by the rebels and the FSA, you could
only hear "crying and begging from members of the army
loyal to al-Assad". The only earnest armament process
is taking place with members of Maher al-Assad's
fourth division and the Republican guard, which are
both exhausted, and cannot be present in all Syrian
areas. Therefore, the rebels are now seeking to impose a
new reality in search of the Syrian Benghazi, and then
unite the separated areas in one line or under one
context, to serve as a buffer zone before the
intervention of any third party. This may explain the
information that has been reported about the al-Assad
regime's attempt to involve groups from Hezbollah, in
order to help thwart the project for Syrian "Benghazis"!
There is also a theory that the al-Assad regime is
deliberately waiting for the departure of the Arab
observer delegation to deliver a final blow to the
rebels. Thus, this reading of the Syrian situation, citing
sources close to the rebels, helps to draw attention
to an important matter, namely that the facts on the
Syrian ground are moving much faster than the pace of
Arab and international diplomacy. The importance of
this matter increases when we consider the remarks of
King Abdullah II, who said that the coming weeks are
crucial for Syria. The Turks are repeating the same
thing to their visitors, and this assessment has also
been declared by the Israelis! So the question is: Will those gathered in Cairo
today consider these facts or not? Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London. |