Israel And The Muslim Brotherhood:
Facing The Bitter-Sweet Reality
26 March 2012
By Alon Ben-Meir
Since the fall of the Mubarak regime, the
conventional wisdom in Israel has suggested that the
emergence of an Islamist government in Egypt would
necessarily be hostile to the Jewish state. Egypt's
parliamentary elections, in which the Muslim
Brotherhood (MB) won close to 50 percent of the vote,
only reinforced this notion, which Prime Minister
Netanyahu viewed with a suspicious "wait-and-see"
attitude. On its part, the MB Freedom and Justice
Party (FJP) seems equally unwilling to change their
posture towards what they still call the "Zionist
entity." That both sides are loath to talk to one
another not only ignores the hard-core realities on
the ground but also deepens pre-existing
misperceptions.
Israel and the MB should accept the fact that they
exist and will continue to exist in the same
neighborhood indefinitely regardless of their feelings
or beliefs about each other. Moreover, by accepting
the inevitability of their mutual realities, Israel
and the MB can and should cooperatively bring an end
to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict which is central
to improving Israeli-Egyptian bilateral relations and
remains the corner-stone of regional stability.
Representing nearly 50 percent of the Egyptian
people, the MB is likely to form the new government
and relies on an almost unbreakable organizational
structure in control of a vast socioeconomic network
deeply entrenched in the society. This is not
necessarily bad news for Israel as the MB has
consistently shown moderation in their overall
political strategy.
Domestically, the MB is negotiating with the military
to reach a power-sharing understanding and continues
to move forward with its non-violent approach, which
they adopted several decades ago and led them to where
they are today. The MB leadership has offered to form
a coalition with secular parties in the new parliament
and has deliberately refrained from nominating a
candidate of their own for the presidency to avoid the
impression that they are the dominant powerhouse,
which also carries a heavy responsibility which they
do not want to shoulder at this juncture.
Internationally, the MB has committed itself to
maintaining the peace treaty with Israel and
cooperating with the United States. The MB and the
Arab world's Islamic parties are large and from every
indication they are not likely to become another
Islamic Republic ŕ la Iran, albeit political Islam
will be a part of any political system that may
emerge. To be sure, the MB and Iran simply do not see
eye to eye. Their bilateral relations will, at best,
be based on mutual suspicion. In fact, the chairman of
the Foreign Affairs committee in the Egyptian
parliament, FJP member Dr. Essam al-Arian, recently
stated ominously that the Arab Spring would also reach
Iran.
With the continuing impasse between Israel and the
Palestinians and considering the immense influence
that the MB exerts on Hamas, the MB could certainly
turn into an important interlocutor between Israel and
the Palestinians, particularly since
Israeli-Palestinian peace will be impossible without
Hamas. The MB has a vested interest in maintaining the
calm along the Israeli-Gaza border. Egypt's recent
success in negotiating a ceasefire between Israel and
Islamic Jihad only confirms Egypt's significant role
in this regard—a role that Cairo has repeatedly played
in the past to prevent escalation of violence. Indeed,
should serious violent conflict occur between Israel
and Hamas, the MB, as it forms the new government,
cannot come to the aid of Hamas and risk a
confrontation with Israel or ignore the Egyptian
people's outcry should Israel conduct a major
onslaught against Gaza. Moreover, the MB cannot tamper
with the diplomatic relations with Israel without
undermining the peace treaty nor can it afford to
ignore calls by the newly elected People's Assembly
(the Parliament) requesting the government to recall
the Egyptian ambassador in Tel Aviv and expel the
Israeli ambassador in Cairo, in protest of the
"Israeli aggression" on Gaza.
Israel might find it easier to deal with the Egyptian
military, which has been ruling the country since the
coup of 1952. However, the fact that the military
itself has yielded to the reality of the MB suggests a
significant change in the role of the military in
Egyptian politics, especially in light of the fact
that the rise of Islamic parties will play a
significant, if not dominant, role in the wake of the
Arab Spring. Realpolitic aside, Israel has to
reconcile itself with the fact that the MB has come to
power through a democratic process and Israel would be
wise to accept what the Egyptians have elected in
their first free and fair elections in the country's
history. The MB can exert the greatest moderating
influence over Hamas to accept Israel's reality and
facilitate peace negotiations between the two sides,
as they have abandoned violence and accepted the peace
with Israel. To be sure, the MB can serve both as a
facilitator and a model.
Israel should also recognize the MB leadership as a
legitimate and integral part of the Egyptian political
body. Immediately after the uprising of the Egyptians
in February 2011, Israel's former ambassador in Cairo,
Yitzhak Levanon, had requested permission from his
superiors in the Foreign Ministry to establish a
dialogue with the MB – much like the United States and
several European countries. It was no surprise that
the ambassador's useful request was rejected by
Israeli Foreign Minister Lieberman. This attitude only
adds further to Israel's estrangement in the eyes of
the MB, the de-facto future governing authority.
Indeed, how could any Israeli concern over the MB
possibly be addressed without attempting dialogue?
To test the MB resolve and willingness to facilitate
an Israeli-Palestinian peace accord, Israel should
convey to the MB its readiness to provide general
parameters of a two-state solution. In addition,
Israel should further convey its preparedness to
engage Hamas, along with the Palestinian Authority, in
negotiations once Hamas follows the Palestinian
Authority's foot-step by formally and permanently
abandoning violence as a means to achieve the
Palestinians' national objective of statehood.
Although the MB has come to terms with the existence
of Israel in the Middle East, this acceptance should
now transcend a reluctant commitment to maintaining
the already cold peace between Egypt and Israel to a
dialogue on a wider spectrum of issues. As I argued in
a recent article, Egypt must engage in sustainable
development projects to overcome its current dismal
economic reality. Having established a state with an
outstanding economic success based on sustainable
development and technological breakthroughs, Israel is
perhaps Egypt's best partner in this regard, not to
mention the possibilities of cooperation in the areas
of education, irrigation technology, and foreign
investment.
Israel should capitalize on the MB's ascendance to
power in Egypt to facilitate the engagement of Hamas
and other Palestinian Islamic groups in the peace
process. The sooner Israeli-Palestinian peace is
achieved, the wider the door will open for coexistence
and cooperation between Israel and the Islamic forces
that will dominate the Arab world for years to come.