20 April 2012 By
Tariq Alhomayed It is clear that there
is a varying sense of international alertness towards
what is happening in Syria, particularly at the most
recent Paris meeting [of the Friends of Syria]. The
most distinctive thing about this meeting was that it
was brief, not to mention the different language that
was utilized in its closing statement, particularly
its description of Annan's mission as "the last
chance", however the question that must be asked here
is: is this truly the last chance that will be granted
to al-Assad? The statement made by
US Secretary of State [Hillary Clinton] in Paris was
also important; she called for action to be taken,
once more, at the UN Security Council, in order to
obtain a Chapter Seven sanctions resolution regarding
the situation in Syria, which authorizes foreign
powers to use military force. Of course, the US
Secretary of State was realistic in her expectations
that Moscow would utilize its veto in response to such
a move, which would mean – according to Clinton – that
we must activate the NATO mutual defense pact, due to
the "outrageous" shelling by Syria on its northern
border with Turkey. Clinton also announced that
"Turkey is considering formally invoking Article Four
of the North Atlantic Treaty." Such talk is very
important; particularly as US military commanders
issued a set of statements yesterday to the effect
that all options are on the table. In addition to
this, there were also western statements – including
by French President Nicolas Sarkozy – calling for the
provision of humanitarian corridors in Syria. This
means that there is now a strong chance for foreign
intervention in Syria, particularly as Annan's mission
has practically failed, and its death needs to be
officially announced. However the question that must
be asked here is: does al-Assad understand and take
all of these statements seriously and respond to
diplomatic initiatives? The natural answer is no, and
so long as there are no real steps on the ground, al-Assad
will not abide by any initiative. What we must confirm
is that so long that al-Assad does not hear the whirl
of airplanes above Damascus; he will not take any
serious steps to end the violence and crimes that are
being committed against the people of Syria.
This is something that
not just applies to al-Assad, but those around him as
well, not to mention his security leadership; for so
long as there is no real military movement to stop the
al-Assad killing machine – as well as no humanitarian
corridors or buffer zones in Syria – then it is only
natural that we would not see any senior figures or
ranks defecting from the al-Assad regime. The logical
question that we have been asking ourselves over the
past 12 months of the revolution is: where can the
officers or ministers who defect from the al-Assad
regime – not to mention their families – go? Libya had
Benghazi, whilst during the current situation in
Syria, we see al-Assad bombing Homs on a daily basis,
despite Annan's deadline, and so it is clear that al-Assad
wants to destroy Homs to ensure that it does not
become the capital of the revolution, or the Syrian
Benghazi. Therefore, despite the
importance of everything that was said during the
Paris meeting, al-Assad will not accede or respond to
the dangerous position he finds himself in, or the
seriousness of the international community, unless he
sees the first NATO meeting take place in Turkey,
entitled the Turkish – Syrian situation. At this
point, al-Assad will be aware that the wheel of change
has begun to turn, and that today is different than
yesterday. This is the only
language that al-Assad understands! Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London.
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