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18 May 2012 By Abdul
Rahman Al-Rashed The most popular word
in the Egyptian arena is "no". The word no is uttered
dozens of times every day with regards to local
issues: No to military trials, no to remnants [of the
former regime], no to the Supreme Council of the Armed
Forces (SCAF), no to presidential elections before a
constitution is in place, no to the constituent
assembly, no to the electoral commission and no to
disrupting the presidential elections. The word no is also
used prominently when it comes to overseas issues: No
to borrowing from the World Bank, no to US aid, no to
exporting gas to Israel, no to preventing civil
society organizations, and so on. The newest is "no to
Saudi Arabia", because of the Egyptian named Ahmed al-Gizawi
arrested at Jeddah airport in possession of narcotics.
Of course, the
Egyptian citizen can say no as many times as they want
to their own government, but they cannot impose their
opinion outside their own country. Egypt can close its
embassy in Riyadh, prevent its Egyptian citizens from
travelling to Saudi Arabia, prevent the Saudis from
entering Egypt, and cut all bilateral relations with
Saudi Arabia. These stances can all be emphatically
represented by the word no. However, Egypt cannot
prevent a foreign state from arresting an Egyptian, in
accordance with the laws of that state, and cannot
prevent the punishment that he is sentenced to.
Those who call for
Egypt to cut ties with the state with the greatest
overlapping interests, i.e. Saudi Arabia, or to
withdraw Egypt's labor force from there, want to
impose their demands at the expense of other Egyptians
whom they did not consult. If the Egyptians want
to say no to all these interests, that is their
business and their right, but the question that
remains is: Who is authorized to say yes or no for the
Egyptian people? Demonstrators, parliamentarians or
the expected president? Sovereign Egyptian decisions
should be issued by the Egyptian state, not through
television talk shows or demonstrations. The world has been
waiting for about a year for the Egyptians to decide
upon their state project. A year ago Qatar promised to
give the Egyptians US$ 10 billion, but only after a
president was elected. The UAE made a similar pledge.
The World Bank has refused to provide aid whilst it
awaits Egypt's political birth. The new Egyptian
regime is still in a state of formation, whereby
almost half of it has been completed with the
elections of both houses of parliament; the People's
Assembly and the Shura Council. What remains is the
constitution, the election of the president, and
subsequently the government. Then the Egyptians will
be able to make their own crucial decisions with
regards to foreign affairs, but at the moment we are
witnessing a state of competition, with each party
seeking to humiliate others and gain popularity and
emotional weight, and most of the time when they say
no it has no logic behind it. For example, those who
say no to borrowing from the World Bank to secure
Egypt's critical financial situation perhaps are
unaware that countries such as Spain, Romania, Greece
and others are all now standing in a queue in front of
the IMF and World Bank, and there is no sense of a
loss of dignity for them. Likewise, those who want to
cancel Egypt's foreign aid, like that it receives from
the United States, are ignoring that this aid is part
of a complex relationship and mutual interests. Most
countries in the region aspire to receive annual US
aid such as that granted to Egypt, to the value of
around US$ 1.5 billion, which exceeds the aid granted
to all other Arab countries combined. As for the battle of
the accused Egyptian Ahmed al-Gizawi in Saudi Arabia,
if it was true that that Saudi Arabia had an agenda
against him, then he would have been refused a visa
immediately and thus prevented from entering the
country. Secondly, al-Gizawi is a non-factor for many
people, particularly the Saudis, compared to the
dozens of other famous Egyptian critics or supporters.
Thirdly, Saudi Arabia contains the largest Egyptian
community in the world outside their own country.
Interestingly, this community is ranked second in
Saudi Arabia in terms of living standards, citing the
least issues or problems. Fourthly, the Saudi work
regulations, which some people are complaining about,
apply to all communities and nationalities, and are
not an exception targeting the Egyptians. The Saudis, and anyone
else concerned about what is currently being issued
from Egypt, must realize that Egypt today is a ship in
a rough sea without a captain, awaiting the results of
the long Egyptian marathon. I am confident that
matters will work out in their natural course, and
Egypt's foreign relations will not change greatly
whether the next regime is a civil one, or consists of
retired military figures, or the Brotherhood, or the
Nasserites. Saudi-Egyptian relations have remained for
nearly three quarters of a century, and they have
withstood the most trying of circumstances. The
Egyptian monarchy fell in 1952 and relations continued
with the new regime. The late Egyptian President Anwar
Sadat was enraged when Saudi Arabia refused to support
him in his agreement with Israel in 1979, but
relations were then restored, as happened previously
with the late President Jamal Abdul Nasser.
The truth is that the
new Egypt, regardless of the forces that will
administer its policies in the future, will grow
increasingly interconnected with Saudi Arabia given
the circumstances. Egypt boasts the third highest
gross production in the region, after Saudi Arabia and
the UAE, which means that Egypt's economy is larger
than that of Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq and Libya combined,
in terms of economic strength. But Egypt cannot
activate this strength without good relations with the
major economic countries in the region, such as Saudi
Arabia. Those who threw bricks
at the Saudi Embassy in Cairo were actually throwing
them at the Egyptians in Saudi Arabia, already
concerned about the chaos on the Egyptian street and
the conflicts between various political forces to rule
the country. Some may be shocked to learn that many of
the 1.5 million Egyptians in Saudi Arabia declined to
transfer their savings to their home country last
year, fearing the consequences that the chaos may pose
for their earnings, such as the devaluation of the
Egyptian pound, the bankruptcy of Egyptian banks, or
the anarchical political and security situation.
Those who undertook
the Egyptian revolution must preserve their country's
gains, and not mix between them and the gains of the
former regime. Al Rashed is the general manager of Al -Arabiya
television. He is also the former editor-in-chief of
Asharq Al- Awsat, and the leading Arabic weekly
magazine, Al Majalla. He is also a senior Columnist in
the daily newspapers of Al Madina and Al Bilad. He is
a US post-graduate degree in mass communications. He
has been a guest on many TV current affairs programs.
He is currently based in Dubai. |