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21 June 2012 By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid An airplane loaded with businessmen from some of
Russia's largest companies in vital sectors, including
the oil, construction, rail, tourism, food and
agriculture sectors, arrived in Jeddah from Moscow.
However the news of the Russian businessmen's visit
angered Saudi citizens, who see Russian warships
docking in the Syrian port of Tartus in order to
provide the al-Assad regime with everything that it
needs to kill the Syrian people, at the same time that
representatives of Russia's largest companies are
landing at Jeddah airport in order to reap contracts
worth billions of dollars. Due to the overwhelming public anger in Saudi
Arabia, not a single trader dared to go to the Jeddah
Chamber of Commerce to meet with the Russian
businessmen. Saudi businessmen simply sent a
receptionist to inform the Russian delegation that the
meeting was cancelled because the members and
businessmen [of the Jeddah Chamber of Commerce] could
not meet with them. After these Russian businessmen
returned to their hotel, the Riyadh Chamber of
Commerce which was to be their next destination
telephoned them and informed them that their meeting
was also cancelled. This represents the expected response to the
Russian stance on Syria, which is full of impudence,
to the point that Moscow no longer even cares about
the discourse it is using to describe the situation in
Syria or its unashamed role in the killing of the
Syrian people. This demonstrates the manner in which
the short but until now improving relationship
between the "new Russia" and the Arab world has
decayed, after the doors of the Gulf States and the
Arab world in general had been opened to the Russians.
Following the end of the Cold War, Moscow as well as
certain Chinese companies were granted preferential
deals and allowed to become involved in large oil, gas
and construction projects and even arms deals, after
they had been prevented from being involved in such
deals during the Soviet Union era. Russia's annual
trade with Saudi Arabia alone is today valued at $3.5
billion; whilst this may not seem like a huge amount
of money, it represents an important positive shift in
Saudi's relations with Russia. Today, the general popular mood in Arab states
not to mention official stances are largely hostile
to the policies of Vladimir Putin, who has chosen to
stand with the Syrian regime in a long, bloody and
ugly confrontation that has been filled with lies and
deceit. We do not know who is in charge of the Syrian
file in Moscow
is this the presidency, the foreign
ministry, or the intelligence service? Who is so
insistent on Moscow's support for Bashar al-Assad,
even though this represents a political blunder in
terms of handling crises? It seems that this is the
result of a combination between Russia's old conflict
with the West and the reality today, particularly
regarding what is represented by the new order in the
Arab world. We believe that Moscow under Putin today
is different to the Moscow of the Bolsheviks,
particularly as a pragmatic reading of the situation
requires the Russians to realize and accept the
impossibility of securing the survival of al-Assad or
his regime by way of an unpopular war. The vast
majority of Syrians are now firmly against al-Assad,
not to mention the possibility of him not being held
accountable for his crimes. We have been contemplating justifications of
Russia's stance on Syria for more than a year. In the
beginning, we said the Russians are supporting al-Assad
because they are betting on the survival of the regime
and so they want ensure that they are on the winning
side. Following the emergence of vast pockets of
resistance against the al-Assad regime forces and the
continuation of protests, we thought that perhaps the
Russians are trying to implement regime change from
within, whether in terms of securing a change of
behavior or leadership, in order to guarantee their
presence and influence in Damascus in one way or
another. When the Russians took the decision to
utilize their Security Council veto, and in light of
the continuation of wide-scale bombardment and
violence targeting unarmed Syrian civilians, we said
perhaps the Russians are engaged in broader
negotiations with the West. However now that it is
beginning to look like the revolutionaries and
protesters will be victorious, and the regime is
failing in every corner of Syria, such arguments and
pretexts have run out, and we no longer have any doubt
that the Russians are playing an old game in a new and
different era, and they are unable to think outside of
the box of their old views. They continue to support
Iran, which has been experiencing internal conflict
over the past three years and which is internationally
besieged. Whilst prior to this, they supported
Gaddafi, and when he lost, they lost with him, and
this represented a scandalous defeat for the Russians.
What is driving Russia to support an evil regime
that is nearing its final days? Is this part of
conflict amongst the Russian old-guard and dreams of
returning Moscow to the international forefront? Is
this part of Russia holding out for mutual
concessions, such as regarding the NATO missile shield
or the Iranian nuclear program? However despite this,
there is also a historic conflict between Russia and
Iran, and President Ahmadinejad previously attacked
Putin during a public speech, accusing him of seeking
to dominate the Caspian Sea. Ahmadinejad attacked
Putin, reminding him of Russian attacks on Iran since
the mid-19th century during the era of Tsar Nicholas
I. Ahmadinejad also mentioned the Bolshevik attacks on
Iran and Tehran being denied its rights to the Caspian
Sea, where it was unjustly granted the least rights of
all countries bordering the Caspian Sea, making
reference to the complex conflict that may arise from
anew regarding fishing and oil rights to the Caspian
Sea. This is why we fail to understand the Russian
policy that is supporting a weak and failing regime,
which is now being besieged on all sides. Can anyone
draw us a map to understand the Russian mentality? Al Rashed is the
general manager of Al -Arabiya television. He is also
the former editor-in-chief of Asharq Al- Awsat, and
the leading Arabic weekly magazine, Al Majalla. He is
also a senior Columnist in the daily newspapers of Al
Madina and Al Bilad. He is a US post-graduate degree
in mass communications. He has been a guest on many TV
current affairs programs. He is currently based in
Dubai. |