13 June 2012By Tariq Alhomayed
The reported shooting down of a Turkish warplane by
al-Assad's Air Defense is an important message to
everybody in Ankara, as well as the international
community, namely that the al-Assad regime – and those
backing it – are prepared to fight to the last, and
not just destroy Syria, but the entire region! This is
also a clear sign regarding the desperate situation
that the tyrant of Damascus now finds himself in.
Viewing the news in chronological order helps one
to see the bigger picture, and so the bringing down of
the Turkish warplane was carried out by the Air Force
of the tyrant of Damascus, however the announcement of
this news was issued by Al-Manar TV, which is
affiliated to the Iran-backed Hezbollah organization
in Lebanon. Whilst following this, the al-Assad regime
immediately rushed to apologize to Ankara. This,
therefore, demonstrates the complete harmony between
the al-Assad regime, Hezbollah and Iran, and serves as
a clear message to the Turks, and others, that al-Assad
is not fighting this battle alone, but that he has
Iran and Hezbollah in his corner! However does al-Assad
possess the capabilities to confront the Turkish
forces? Certainly not, and the evidence of this is
that he rushed to immediately apologize to Ankara, and
this indicates that he wants to send a message
regarding the "crazy option", namely the possibility
of a war against Turkey. However he is ultimately
incapable of doing so, for various reasons, and this
is what confirms that al-Assad is in a desperate
situation.
The bringing down of the Turkish warplane is not just
a message to the Turks, but this may also be an
internal message to his own forces. The shooting down
of the Turkish fighter jet comes one day after the
defection of a Syrian Air Force pilot – along with his
warplane – to Jordan, requesting political asylum
there. It seems that this defection cost the al-Assad
regime one warplane, and so he wanted to respond by
exchanging one warplane for another, whilst also
serving to raise the morale of his criminal troops.
Dictators often charge to the fore during times of
crises, and this is either by fabricating a larger
crisis or by inciting wars in order to unify internal
ranks. This is precisely what Saddam Hussein
previously did, and the same goes for Khomeinist Iran.
In order to confirm this in al-Assad's case, we need
only contemplate the accelerating rate of defections
of officers from the ranks of his forces, as well as
the fact that more and more senior officers are
beginning to defect, including the defection of a
senior pilot – along with his warplane – from the
Syrian Air Force, whilst yesterday 4 senior officers
from Aleppo also defected.
Of course, the military defections, along with the
fighter jet, indicate that al-Assad's crisis has
entered the skies. This confirms that Annan's
initiative has failed, and is dead, and that there is
no hope for its implementation. Whilst the increasing
rate of defections indicates that the time has come to
impose buffer zones or safety corridors along the
Turkish and Jordanian borders with Syria, for this
would speed up the collapse of the al-Assad regime,
particularly in light of the news that members of al-Assad's
inner circle are moving closer to defecting. Many of
those close to al-Assad have begun to move their
wealth outside of Syria, and this is understandable,
especially with the changing conditions on the ground
no longer being in favor of the tyrant of Damascus.
This has caused al-Assad to lose his temper and order
the deaths of a huge number of Syrian people, and the
last two days alone have witnessed a death toll of
over 200!
It is clear that we are facing the beginning of the
end of al-Assad, but who will perform the coup de
grace, namely implement the buffer zones?
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London.
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EsinIslam.Com
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