|
24 June 2012 By Tariq Alhomayed One cannot find fault with those who are saying
that the Geneva summit has failed, despite everything
that this summit issued, particularly as the wording
of the statement is so vague that it allows each party
to interpret it as they see fit, whether we are
talking about the Americans, Russians or Mr. Kofi
Annan himself. Therefore, the question that must be
asked here is: what happens next? The simple answer is that there is no political
solution on the horizon, and any solution outside of
the framework of the UN Security Council will be
worthless unless there is an international coalition
that can impose this on the ground. This coalition
must be capable of carrying out military intervention
or imposing a no-fly zone or buffer zones. Without
this, it is difficult to imagine any political
solutions today. However, this does not mean that we
have reached the end of the road, rather it confirms
that the solution in Syria was and remains in the
hands of the Syrian revolutionaries themselves,
through what is happening on the ground. If the Syrian
revolutionaries had not persisted there would have
been no Geneva summit at all, and no agreement
reached, and this is an agreement reached by all
parties in Geneva, including Russia. This is an
agreement on a transitional government, which is
something that we have already said is not possible to
implement at this time, however this agreement does
reveal that Moscow's room for maneuver is shrinking.
From here, the most important thing is what is
happening on the ground in Syria, for this is what is
prompting change, both within Damascus and the
international community. The al-Assad regime today is
closer to destruction than at any time in the past,
whilst the revolution is in its strongest position.
Therefore Geneva is not the end of the road but the
beginning of the end of al-Assad, so long as the
Syrian people remain steadfast, and so long as we
continue to arm the Free Syrian Army [FSA] and provide
it with the equipment that allows it to take action
and confront the tyrant's forces. This is what we must
focus on, far more than a political solution that will
not come without imposing facts on the ground. The
international community is well aware of this, and
this is what prompted the international powers to move
recently, even if this movement was unconvincing and
insufficient. As for Russia and Iran, they will be restrained by
what is happening on the ground in Syria, rather than
the position taken by the international community.
There is a very simple reason for this, namely that
Moscow and Tehran are involved in a somewhat suicidal
mission today, namely the mission to extend the life
of the tyrant of Damascus. Whilst Iran views the
Geneva summit as a failure because it dissociated
itself with the states that possess "influence" in
Syria, according to the statement issued by the
Iranian official. This means that Iran wants to ensure
al-Assad remains in power, or if he is ousted, impose
his followers in power, along the lines of Hezbollah
in Lebanon or al-Maliki and others in Iraq. This is
something that must not be permitted, for this would
ensure that Syria remains weak and divided in the
long-term.
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London. |