I cannot begin this article without first
expressing my profound outrage about the behavior of
the Western powers, Turkey, the Arab League, and Kofi
Annan, all of whom are still debating the likelihood
of finding a political solution to end the merciless
butchering of the Syrian people by the Assad regime.
Do they really think in their heart of hearts that a
political solution is possible given the fact that
Assad has defied all previous resolutions while his
killing machine continues to erase one Syrian town
after another? How ironic it is that the countries
that preach the gospel of human rights have resorted
to self-imposed paralysis while justifying it by the
presumed lack of legitimacy of intervention. What
legitimacy is needed to intervene when thousands of
men, women and children are massacred each month? When
does hypocrisy end when politics trump moral
obligation, and when great powers surrender their most
precious values to the devil?
I understand the pitfalls and the potentially
regional repercussions resulting even from a
carefully-planned military intervention. But this must
be weighed not only against the systematic butchering
of the Syrian people but also against the credibility
and the standing of these powers in the eyes of those
nations that look up to United States or NATO not to
tolerate this kind of travesty, which transcends the
cruelest human conduct imagined. What do other despots
learn from the Syrian experience and why should they
behave any differently toward their own people when
they can do so with immunity? For how much longer can
those countries that can actually do something to stop
the carnage wait? When is enough, enough? How many
more Syrians must be killed in cold blood for the
consciousness of the international community to be
awakened to action? The most recent massacre,
estimated to be between 120 and 200 people in the
village of Tremseh near the city of Hama, attests not
only to Assad's utter ruthlessness but also to his
fear that he is about to lose his grip on power.
Although Assad has moved some of his chemical weapons
either to protect them from falling into the hands of
the rebels or as a last-ditch effort to use them
against the rebels to save his regime, it will be
suicidal as he will be crossing a red line that
invites immediate Western military intervention.
At the time of this writing, the United Nations
Security Council will be at it again this Wednesday
trying to pass yet another useless and insulting
resolution designed to end the conflict peacefully.
One would think that by now the United States and NATO
members have learned their lessons from previous
resolutions that have only allowed Assad to continue
the unabated slaughter of his people.
The first draft resolution sponsored by Russia
calls for extending the UN observer mission by an
additional three months and supports a more political
mission by cutting back the number of military
observers. In addition, Russia urges both sides to
observe a ceasefire, calls for the full implementation
of the Annan Plan, and forcefully rejects a Chapter
VII mandate which allows for the use of economic and
diplomatic sanctions in any and all forms up to, but
not including, the use of military force. This
resolution is no different from the Annan plan that
was dead on arrival and ignored from day one, forcing
the UN observers to suspend their mission in the wake
of the continuing killings and indiscriminate
destruction.
The three Western powers (the US, Britain and
France) drafted a more forceful resolution that would
give Assad ten days to comply with the full
implementation of the Annan plan by first withdrawing
troops from populated areas. Should he fail to do so,
Syria would face diplomatic and economic punishment in
addition to the threat of military force under Chapter
VII of the UN Charter. Any effort to agree on a
compromise between the two resolutions, if successful
at all, will end once up again being a toothless
resolution that will only give Assad license to
continue his massacres without any fear of punishment
or serious threats to his regime.
The Western powers might still offer their
resolution for a vote through the UNSC even though
they expect Russia to exercise its veto power. The
advantage they would reap from such an exercise is to
paint Russia as a complicit party to the abhorrent
developments in Syria, which are sliding the state
quickly toward full-fledged civil war, which Red Cross
has already characterized the bloodshed as such.
Although Russia's position would be greatly undermined
in the eyes of Arab states, the mass killing would
continue.
The outcry of the Syrian people has been heard time
and time again but the international community remains
paralyzed, engaged in wishful thinking that somehow
the Assad regime will heed their call. This obviously
will not happen and now Western powers, along with
Turkey, must muster the courage and decide on a course
of action that will bring an end to a regime that has
long since lost any remaining vestiges of humanity.
Assad and his cronies must go. Under no circumstances
can there be any reconciliation between the butcher of
Damascus and the international community or Syria's
people.
The time has come for a coordinated military
intervention with or without Russian consent. A safe
haven must be established in the north and south of
the country spearheaded by Turkey with the support of
NATO. A no-fly zone should go into effect immediately,
medical, financial, and military aid should be
provided to the opposition forces, and selected Syrian
military targets should be bombed. Simultaneously, a
clear message should be sent to Assad that the bombing
will escalate until he steps down from power. The
West, along with the Arab League, should offer him and
the hundreds of culprits from his military, police and
intelligence services a safe passage to a third
country provided he makes the decision to leave within
two weeks and on the condition that he immediately
stops the onslaught of his people. In so doing the US,
unlike Russia, could increase its leverage with the
Syrians once Assad is deposed.
The concern that such a military intervention may
plunge the Middle East into regional conflict is
baseless. The last thing that Assad would venture to
do is to challenge Turkey and its NATO allies.
Moreover, to draw Israel into the conflict would
invite counterattacks that could obliterate his power
base. Iran, which is under tremendous international
pressure because of its defiance of the international
community in connection with its nuclear program, will
think twice before it directly interferes, fearing
that this may provide the United States or Israel the
pretext to attack its nuclear installations. Hezbollah
will seek to preserve its position and is unlikely to
come to Assad's aid, knowing full-well that the Assad
regime has run its course.
Finally, Russia can do nothing to prevent Western
and Turkish interference with the support of the Arab
League other than condemning their actions. Moreover,
Russia knows that for all intents and purposes the
Assad regime is finished. It is not unlikely that if
Russia also knows of the inevitable Western military
intervention, it may decide to make a deal with the
West and Turkey with the blessing of the Arab League
and the Syrian opposition (as was recently discussed
between the opposition and Russia) to ensure its
strategic interests in the region and sacrifice the
Assad regime in return. As I have stated time and
again, such a course of action will provide the West a
momentous opportunity to extract Syria out of Iran's
belly which might force Iran to rethink its regional
strategy as well as its nuclear ambition.
Time is running out. The longer Western powers
wait, the more Syrians will die on the altar of
international ineptitude. There are no excuses left
for the West to hide behind its contrived political
calculations and lose what is left of its moral
standing.