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07 September 2012 By Abdul Rahman Al-Rashid Yesterday the Syrian rebels succeeded in breaching
security near the regime's chiefs of staff offices in
central Damascus, and two weeks ago they attacked the
heavily-guarded general headquarters of the same
military establishment. These moves were preceded by
the rebels' most significant operation to date, when
they infiltrated the national security building and
blew up a meeting room with elite security and
military leaders inside. These repeated, qualitative operations reveal two
things, firstly the growing strength of the Free
Syrian Army (FSA), and secondly that the regime is
disintegrating from within, with leaders and
individuals volunteering to help the rebels to plot
against their own regime all over Syria. When the
Syrian President appeared on television in a recent
interview to reassure his followers, he said he was
speaking from inside the presidential palace in
Damascus - i.e. that he is not in hiding as has been
rumored, and is most likely correct. Yet this implied
that everything from beyond the walls of the
presidential palace is no longer safe. The regime's
ministers and leaders seem to have disappeared
completely, except for old archive images and footage
that is repeated in the media. With regards to the excruciating daily war between
the regime's forces and the FSA across Syria, the game
has turned on its head. The regime's army is no longer
chasing the rebels; rather it is the rebels who are
doing the attacking in planned and organized
encounters. The FSA battalions have simultaneously
attacked all Syrian border ports with the exception of
one crossing into Iraq in the Kurdish region, and all
others such as Abu Kamal, al-Yaqoubia, Bab al-Hawa and
Bab al-Salam have fallen into the hands of the Syrian
rebels. The objective is to strangle the regime by
depriving it of oil and military support, and
especially those coming to its aid from Iran and Iraq,
via the latter. The rebels in the north have begun to
control the borders there and are granting visas for
those crossing into the country like any legitimate
government would do. Their influence also extends
overland to the borders of the city Aleppo. Whilst the
rebels are trying to choke the regime internally by
cutting off the supply of gas and oil, they are not
attacking power plants or refineries and are just
targeting pipe networks and supply lines. At the same time, the FSA, because it lacks
missiles and ground defenses, has sustained heavy
losses as a result of the regime's forces using
helicopter gunships and fighter jets, which have
caused the displacement of about half a million
Syrians from urban and rural areas. For this reason
the FSA has changed its plan to attack airports, pilot
training colleges and aircraft hangars. The rebels
have launched concurrent attacks on Abu Aldhor air
base in Idlib, the Abu Kamal air base in Deir al-Zour
and the Rasm al-Abboud air force college near Aleppo.
There have also been unsuccessful attempts to capture
other crucial air bases, including those in the
vicinity of Damascus and Aleppo, but the FSA has
managed to disable them to some extent. From the plan to close Syria's borders, which has
succeeded in stifling the regime over land, to the
attacks on the country's airports, air bases and
weapons depots, the world has begun to realize that
al-Assad's forces, even after using all manner of
heavy weaponry including planes, tanks and artillery,
have failed to stop the advance of the FSA. The
rebels, who are now rushing to attack Damascus because
they realize that the fall of the capital will be the
knockout blow for the regime, had limited success in
their latest attack [on the chiefs of staff offices],
and so now they will repeat their attempts within the
context of what they call operation "Damascus Volcano
and Syrian Earthquake". It seems that they will make
Damascus their goal in the weeks to come, especially
if they can use the missiles and anti-aircraft
weaponry that they have seized recently. Politically, the position of al-Assad and his
allies has become weaker than ever. The Russians used
to mock him until recently, saying: Why are you
worried…the regime is strong in Syria! I do not think
they would dare to repeat those words now!
Al Rashed is the general manager of Al -Arabiya
television. He is also the former editor-in-chief of
Asharq Al- Awsat, and the leading Arabic weekly
magazine, Al Majalla. He is also a senior Columnist in
the daily newspapers of Al Madina and Al Bilad. He is
a US post-graduate degree in mass communications. He
has been a guest on many TV current affairs programs.
He is currently based in Dubai. |