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01 November 2012 By Tariq Alhomayed It is not strange for two western newspapers – one
British and one American – to publish similar reports
on Hezbollah and the predicament that the group is
beginning to find itself in, domestically, within the
Arab world, and even within the Islamic world. For the
events in Syria, which the Lebanese group is involved
in as part of its insane support for al-Assad, not to
mention the assassination of Wissam Hassan, are
placing Hezbollah in the eye of the storm. America's Washington Post and Britain's Sunday
Telegraph both issued reports about the presence of
divisions within Hezbollah regarding the approach it
should follow in Syria, and the danger of rushing to
the defense of Bashar al-Assad. This is something that
has led to the group losing its popularity in Lebanon
and the region as a whole. Hezbollah's defense of al-Assad
has exposed the group's lies and sectarianism. However
what is striking in the Sunday Telegraph report is the
quote attributed to a Lebanese source with connections
to senior Hezbollah circles. The source said "there is
an awareness inside Iran and Hezbollah that they are
going to have confrontation with the Sunnis, or are
going to have to bridge the gap between them" adding
"the hardest topic is Syria. The future of Hezbollah
and the Shia is directly related to the future of
Syria. If Bashar is to be sacrificed, let's sacrifice
him and not Syria." This statement is important, but
is Hezbollah still capable of sacrificing al-Assad and
preserving Syria? I strongly doubt this, for it is difficult to find
a solution following the death of approximately 15,000
Syrians at the hands of al-Assad regime forces, whilst
it will be even more difficult to repair communal
relations. If Hezbollah is sincere – although it is
difficult to believe this – the group is capable of
minimizing its losses, as can Iran; however what is
certain that public confidence in Hezbollah has
suffered, and it will not be easy to restore this. One
might say: Do you believe that Hezbollah will truly
sacrifice al-Assad to preserve Syria? To answer, I
believe that Hezbollah wishes to do this, but this is
a difficult proposition; however al-Assad will fall
whether Hezbollah likes it or not. What is clear
today, from such leaks regarding the presence of
divisions between Hezbollah's civilian and military
leadership on Syria and the issue of sacrificing al-Assad,
is that this all points to the presence of genuine
concerns within the Hezbollah movement. This is
something that I referred to in one of my previous
articles following Hassan Nasrallah's extensive
interview with al-Mayadeen TV. These leaks also indicate that Hezbollah is
beginning to sense that it is facing a real
predicament following the assassination of Lebanese
security official Wissam Hassan. Hezbollah has begun
to feel the extent of the loathing towards it from a
large segment of the Lebanese people, not to mention
its loss of the Syrian street, not to mention the Arab
street. Therefore it is natural that there are those
in Hezbollah who sense the threat represented by this
situation, whilst others are blinded by arrogance.
Anybody who knows the Hezbollah leadership can cite
its arrogance, which is something that has also
overwhelmed Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah,
particularly following the 2006 war and the group's
occupation of Beirut. Following this, Nasrallah was
transformed into a man who did not hear the word "no"!
Therefore, Hezbollah thinking about sacrificing al-Assad
now to preserve Syria is not important, particularly
as nobody will cry over his fate. In addition to this,
any value in any "deal" to topple al-Assad is
decreasing more and more, whilst Hezbollah's losses
are increasing. This is what the Iran-backed Hezbollah
movement should be worrying about, rather than
sacrificing al-Assad and preserving Syria.
Tariq Alhomayed is the Editor-in-Chief of Asharq
Al-Awsat, the youngest person to be appointed that
position. He holds a BA degree in Media studies from
King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah, and has also
completed his Introductory courses towards a Master's
degree from George Washington University in Washington
D.C. He is based in London. |